All outlets

OUT_00954

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
714.5 L
Recent monthly avg
363.5 L
Own Q90
659.7 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
20
HHI (1.5 km)
1,000
Replenishment friction
25.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +139.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~139.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +184.6
  • Cooler_Count
    +137.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +65.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    +45.9
  • monthly_volume_median
    +35.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -120.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.5
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.4
  • Province_Southern
    -3.4
  • mass_share
    -2.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 698.9 L → after 698.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 698.9 L → after 698.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,553

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.