All outlets

OUT_00884

Bakery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
225.3 L
Recent monthly avg
97.1 L
Own Q90
235.4 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,540
Replenishment friction
11.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +43.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~43.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +26.7
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +16.3
  • Province_Western
    +6.3
  • competitors_2km
    +1.8
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -55.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -9.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 216.3 L → after 216.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 216.3 L → after 216.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 310

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.