All outlets

OUT_00841

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
78.9 L
Recent monthly avg
13.5 L
Own Q90
38.0 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
956
Replenishment friction
50.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +0.2 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.2 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.5
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.4
  • monthly_cv
    +2.6
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.3
  • competitors_500m
    +1.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -27.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.2 L / mo
base 69.9 L → after 70.2 L
Remove competitive drag+0.7 L / mo
base 69.9 L → after 70.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 136

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.