All outlets

OUT_00817

Eatery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,454.2 L
Recent monthly avg
19.5 L
Own Q90
52.3 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
887
Replenishment friction
22.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +288.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~288.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +733.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +483.4
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +28.4
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +12.9
  • Province_Western
    +7.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -55.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -31.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -20.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    -17.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    -15.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,444.3 L → after 1,444.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,444.3 L → after 1,444.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.