All outlets

OUT_00789

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
675.0 L
Recent monthly avg
379.0 L
Own Q90
669.7 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
20
HHI (1.5 km)
914
Replenishment friction
15.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +136.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~136.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +283.3
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +75.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +62.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +35.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +20.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -119.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -23.9
  • mass_share
    -6.6
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -4.7
  • Province_Southern
    -3.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 683.4 L → after 683.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 683.4 L → after 683.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,087

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.