All outlets

OUT_00646

SMMT · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
561.1 L
Recent monthly avg
20.6 L
Own Q90
55.7 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
1,073
Replenishment friction
19.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +111.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~111.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +299.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +83.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +61.5
  • Province_Western
    +4.2
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +3.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -52.6
  • monthly_volume_mean
    -52.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    -17.5
  • mass_share
    -15.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 555.9 L → after 555.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 555.9 L → after 555.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 3,631

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.