All outlets

OUT_00615

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
68.6 L
Recent monthly avg
11.5 L
Own Q90
33.5 L
Active months
12 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,667
Replenishment friction
25.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +4.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +4.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.2
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.7
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.6
  • Latitude
    +1.6
  • monthly_cv
    +1.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    -23.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+4.1 L / mo
base 72.7 L → after 76.8 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 72.7 L → after 72.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 61

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.