All outlets

OUT_00596

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
81.3 L
Recent monthly avg
17.9 L
Own Q90
77.6 L
Active months
15 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
1,519
Replenishment friction
13.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +4.7 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +4.7 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.5
  • Latitude
    +3.5
  • monthly_cv
    +1.5
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_03
    +1.5
  • territory_radius_m
    +1.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+4.7 L / mo
base 88.7 L → after 93.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 88.7 L → after 88.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 89

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.