All outlets

OUT_00579

Bakery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,911.7 L
Recent monthly avg
1,160.0 L
Own Q90
1,877.6 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,126
Replenishment friction
13.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +376.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~376.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +657.7
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +447.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +156.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    +131.9
  • monthly_volume_std
    +118.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -28.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -28.4
  • Province_Southern
    -4.1
  • competitor_poi_score_norm
    -2.5
  • health_score_norm
    -1.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,883.8 L → after 1,883.8 L
Remove competitive drag-3.0 L / mo
base 1,883.8 L → after 1,880.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.