All outlets

OUT_00531

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
84.3 L
Recent monthly avg
8.6 L
Own Q90
18.7 L
Active months
9 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
955
Replenishment friction
11.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +16.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~16.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 18.8 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.5
  • monthly_cv
    +2.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.5
  • mass_share
    +2.1
  • mid_share
    +2.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -24.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 83.0 L → after 83.0 L
Remove competitive drag+1.1 L / mo
base 83.0 L → after 84.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 102

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.