All outlets

OUT_00451

Kiosk · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
76.0 L
Recent monthly avg
13.3 L
Own Q90
32.6 L
Active months
20 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
11
HHI (1.5 km)
1,012
Replenishment friction
25.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +21.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~21.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +3.2 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.2% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.2%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~3.2 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.8 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 19.1 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.8 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +14.7
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    +5.6
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.6
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +2.4
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 106.7 L → after 106.7 L
Remove competitive drag+2.0 L / mo
base 106.7 L → after 108.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 126

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.