All outlets

OUT_00430

Kiosk · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
97.8 L
Recent monthly avg
13.8 L
Own Q90
37.8 L
Active months
11 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
772
Replenishment friction
18.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +22.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~22.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +10.7
  • monthly_cv
    +4.8
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    +3.2
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +3.1
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 111.2 L → after 111.2 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 111.2 L → after 111.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 136

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.