OUT_00384
Bakery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03
Predicted potential
January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.
Geographical Location
Store location on the map.
Recommended actions
Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.
- Rank 1 · cooler+126.2 L / mo
Add 2th cooler to outlet
Counterfactual model predicts +126.2 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.
- Rank 2 · festival_promo+87.7 L / mo
Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak
Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~87.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.
Top reasons the score is high
Largest positive SHAP contributors.
- monthly_volume_mean+233.4
- monthly_volume_q95+88.3
- monthly_volume_std+62.2
- monthly_volume_median+46.9
- Outlet_Type_Bakery+8.7
Top reasons the score is held back
Largest negative SHAP contributors.
- Outlet_Size_Extra Large-133.9
- Outlet_Size_Large-108.6
- Cooler_Count-53.0
- climate_jan_humid_pct-22.5
- Outlet_Size_Small-22.0
What-if scenarios
Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.
Cooler deployment business case
Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.
AI explanation
A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.
Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.