All outlets

OUT_00379

Hotel · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
725.9 L
Recent monthly avg
419.5 L
Own Q90
653.7 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
901
Replenishment friction
20.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +137.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~137.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +0.8 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.8 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +259.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    +67.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +66.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +51.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +32.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -111.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -19.0
  • mass_share
    -5.1
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.8
  • Province_Southern
    -3.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.8 L / mo
base 685.1 L → after 685.9 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 685.1 L → after 685.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,191

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.