All outlets

OUT_00328

Bakery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
401.7 L
Recent monthly avg
473.5 L
Own Q90
794.5 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
13
HHI (1.5 km)
1,202
Replenishment friction
16.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +82.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~82.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +234.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +83.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    +62.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    +47.9
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    +5.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -134.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -105.6
  • Cooler_Count
    -53.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 410.4 L → after 410.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 410.4 L → after 410.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 0

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.