All outlets

OUT_00326

Grocery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
522.3 L
Recent monthly avg
475.4 L
Own Q90
725.7 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
699
Replenishment friction
17.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +102.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~102.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +24.4 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +24.4 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +221.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +82.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +68.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +42.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +22.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -131.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -91.7
  • Cooler_Count
    -25.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.8
  • jan_mean
    -2.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+24.4 L / mo
base 512.5 L → after 536.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 512.5 L → after 512.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 42

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
24.4 L
Monthly margin
LKR 723
Payback
69.2 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR -34,550

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.