All outlets

OUT_00309

Kiosk · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
455.3 L
Recent monthly avg
478.3 L
Own Q90
823.7 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
853
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +122.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +122.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +85.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~85.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +231.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +82.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    +62.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    +47.7
  • Province_Western
    +6.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -134.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -104.7
  • Cooler_Count
    -51.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -20.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+122.1 L / mo
base 429.1 L → after 551.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 429.1 L → after 429.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 0

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
122.1 L
Monthly margin
LKR 3,917
Payback
12.8 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 33,722

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.