All outlets

OUT_00293

Eatery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
454.8 L
Recent monthly avg
430.5 L
Own Q90
714.9 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
1,006
Replenishment friction
17.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +84.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~84.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +230.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +88.4
  • monthly_volume_std
    +66.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    +48.9
  • Province_Western
    +6.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -134.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -107.0
  • Cooler_Count
    -53.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 422.7 L → after 422.7 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 422.7 L → after 422.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 16

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.