All outlets

OUT_00291

SMMT · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,561.6 L
Recent monthly avg
449.7 L
Own Q90
726.2 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
10
HHI (1.5 km)
1,086
Replenishment friction
6.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +315.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~315.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +655.0
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +312.7
  • Cooler_Count
    +166.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    +76.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    +59.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -34.8
  • mid_share
    -8.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -7.3
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    -5.9
  • monthly_volume_q90
    -4.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,577.8 L → after 1,577.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,577.8 L → after 1,577.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.