All outlets

OUT_00287

Bakery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,522.9 L
Recent monthly avg
437.9 L
Own Q90
686.9 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
831
Replenishment friction
12.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +309.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~309.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +637.8
  • Cooler_Count
    +319.2
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +194.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    +58.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    +40.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -36.3
  • mass_share
    -15.1
  • premium_share
    -7.0
  • mid_share
    -6.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -3.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,545.4 L → after 1,545.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,545.4 L → after 1,545.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.