All outlets

OUT_00261

Kiosk · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
464.5 L
Recent monthly avg
451.6 L
Own Q90
654.6 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
1,317
Replenishment friction
6.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +95.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~95.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +0.6 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +229.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +61.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    +57.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +43.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +17.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -129.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -88.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.0
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -16.5
  • Province_Southern
    -2.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.6 L / mo
base 478.4 L → after 479.0 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 478.4 L → after 478.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 2

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.