All outlets

OUT_00254

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
667.9 L
Recent monthly avg
292.5 L
Own Q90
623.4 L
Active months
25 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
13
HHI (1.5 km)
904
Replenishment friction
24.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +131.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~131.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +180.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +150.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +67.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    +48.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +37.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -100.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -20.2
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -17.1
  • monthly_volume_median
    -11.8
  • mass_share
    -6.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 656.8 L → after 656.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 656.8 L → after 656.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,981

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.