All outlets

OUT_00212

Bakery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,571.1 L
Recent monthly avg
453.4 L
Own Q90
714.6 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
830
Replenishment friction
10.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +322.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~322.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +656.0
  • Cooler_Count
    +314.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +206.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    +55.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    +47.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -34.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -6.3
  • Latitude
    -4.4
  • monthly_volume_q90
    -3.4
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -3.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,613.4 L → after 1,613.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,613.4 L → after 1,613.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.