All outlets

OUT_00185

Eatery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
492.4 L
Recent monthly avg
431.7 L
Own Q90
723.9 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
13
HHI (1.5 km)
1,140
Replenishment friction
21.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +96.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~96.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +24.4 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +24.4 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +218.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +71.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +67.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    +41.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +22.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -130.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -92.7
  • Cooler_Count
    -25.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.3
  • Latitude
    -1.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+24.4 L / mo
base 484.4 L → after 508.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 484.4 L → after 484.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 75

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
24.4 L
Monthly margin
LKR 721
Payback
69.4 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR -34,592

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.