All outlets

OUT_00178

Kiosk · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
457.0 L
Recent monthly avg
482.2 L
Own Q90
668.1 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
21
HHI (1.5 km)
991
Replenishment friction
9.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +84.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~84.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +229.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +77.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +60.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    +50.2
  • competitors_500m
    +9.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -133.2
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -105.3
  • Cooler_Count
    -53.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 422.0 L → after 422.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 422.0 L → after 422.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 0

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.