All outlets

OUT_00172

Grocery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,672.6 L
Recent monthly avg
391.4 L
Own Q90
669.8 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,341
Replenishment friction
14.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +331.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~331.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +0.3 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.3 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +650.6
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +404.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    +104.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    +95.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +84.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -30.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -5.5
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -2.8
  • monthly_volume_q90
    -2.8
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -2.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.3 L / mo
base 1,655.7 L → after 1,656.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,655.7 L → after 1,655.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.