All outlets

OUT_00142

Pharmacy · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
497.2 L
Recent monthly avg
462.4 L
Own Q90
798.0 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
23
HHI (1.5 km)
510
Replenishment friction
16.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +100.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~100.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +23.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +23.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +221.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +82.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    +64.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +41.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +20.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -128.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -87.8
  • Cooler_Count
    -25.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.6
  • territory_radius_m
    -3.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+23.1 L / mo
base 503.1 L → after 526.2 L
Remove competitive drag+0.6 L / mo
base 503.1 L → after 503.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 20

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
23.1 L
Monthly margin
LKR 744
Payback
67.2 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR -34,096

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.