All outlets

OUT_00134

Grocery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,722.6 L
Recent monthly avg
419.4 L
Own Q90
698.8 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,214
Replenishment friction
20.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +335.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~335.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +2.2 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +2.2 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +650.2
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +401.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +103.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +95.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +92.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -30.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -5.7
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -2.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -2.1
  • Province_Southern
    -2.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+2.2 L / mo
base 1,678.8 L → after 1,680.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,678.8 L → after 1,678.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.