All outlets

OUT_00131

Eatery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
522.8 L
Recent monthly avg
521.1 L
Own Q90
801.5 L
Active months
33 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,126
Replenishment friction
3.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +106.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~106.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +0.6 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +236.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +97.9
  • monthly_volume_std
    +63.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    +46.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +21.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -129.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -91.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.0
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -15.0
  • Province_Southern
    -1.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.6 L / mo
base 532.3 L → after 532.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 532.3 L → after 532.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 0

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.