All outlets

OUT_00127

Bakery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
501.5 L
Recent monthly avg
449.9 L
Own Q90
682.4 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
9
HHI (1.5 km)
2,060
Replenishment friction
12.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +102.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~102.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +0.0 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.0 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +234.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +82.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +60.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    +45.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +18.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -127.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -85.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.2
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -16.1
  • mid_share
    -2.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.0 L / mo
base 509.9 L → after 509.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 509.9 L → after 509.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 39

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.