All outlets

OUT_00101

Bakery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,565.0 L
Recent monthly avg
467.4 L
Own Q90
703.7 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
29
HHI (1.5 km)
603
Replenishment friction
6.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +316.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~316.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +651.2
  • Cooler_Count
    +314.8
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +199.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    +56.6
  • monthly_volume_std
    +46.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -35.5
  • premium_share
    -8.0
  • hhi_1500m
    -8.0
  • competitors_1km
    -8.0
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -5.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,583.3 L → after 1,583.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,583.3 L → after 1,583.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.