All outlets

OUT_00085

Hotel · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
518.9 L
Recent monthly avg
418.4 L
Own Q90
785.4 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
1,104
Replenishment friction
3.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +102.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~102.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +22.7 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +22.7 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +222.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +92.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    +67.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    +42.5
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +21.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -128.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -90.2
  • Cooler_Count
    -25.8
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.3
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    -3.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+22.7 L / mo
base 511.8 L → after 534.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 511.8 L → after 511.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 196

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
22.7 L
Monthly margin
LKR 732
Payback
68.3 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR -34,364

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.