All outlets

OUT_00071

Grocery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,486.9 L
Recent monthly avg
462.0 L
Own Q90
751.3 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
587
Replenishment friction
6.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +309.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~309.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +636.4
  • Cooler_Count
    +314.0
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +203.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    +55.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    +51.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -36.5
  • hhi_1500m
    -13.7
  • premium_share
    -7.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -5.4
  • monthly_volume_q90
    -3.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,548.3 L → after 1,548.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,548.3 L → after 1,548.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.