All outlets

OUT_00056

Kiosk · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
319.3 L
Recent monthly avg
338.3 L
Own Q90
747.1 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
1,018
Replenishment friction
15.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +69.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~69.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +3.5 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +3.5 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +182.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +65.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +64.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +47.8
  • Province_Western
    +5.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -119.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -92.9
  • Cooler_Count
    -50.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -28.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -19.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+3.5 L / mo
base 349.7 L → after 353.2 L
Remove competitive drag-1.5 L / mo
base 349.7 L → after 348.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 0

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.