All outlets

OUT_00041

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
758.1 L
Recent monthly avg
308.3 L
Own Q90
711.7 L
Active months
23 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
939
Replenishment friction
8.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +147.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~147.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +168.7
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +153.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +64.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +58.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    +55.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -106.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -18.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    -13.4
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -2.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 738.8 L → after 738.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 738.8 L → after 738.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 2,527

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.