All outlets

OUT_00040

SMMT · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
727.9 L
Recent monthly avg
300.3 L
Own Q90
672.4 L
Active months
25 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,675
Replenishment friction
16.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +145.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~145.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +167.2
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +158.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +69.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +68.9
  • monthly_volume_std
    +56.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -106.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -18.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    -14.4
  • mass_share
    -5.4
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 726.5 L → after 726.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 726.5 L → after 726.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 2,813

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.