All outlets

OUT_00035

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
756.1 L
Recent monthly avg
331.9 L
Own Q90
713.5 L
Active months
24 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,436
Replenishment friction
12.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +149.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~149.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +318.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +69.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +65.9
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +45.4
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +30.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -108.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -19.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    -14.0
  • Province_Southern
    -3.0
  • jan_mean
    -2.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 749.3 L → after 749.3 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 749.3 L → after 749.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 2,357

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.