All outlets

OUT_00033

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
341.6 L
Recent monthly avg
333.5 L
Own Q90
709.9 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
593
Replenishment friction
7.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +114.3 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +114.3 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +67.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~67.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +179.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    +68.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +64.8
  • competitors_2km
    +7.3
  • hhi_1500m
    +5.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -99.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -77.6
  • Cooler_Count
    -48.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -27.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    -19.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+114.3 L / mo
base 336.3 L → after 450.6 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 336.3 L → after 336.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
114.3 L
Monthly margin
LKR 3,796
Payback
13.2 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 31,139

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.