All outlets

OUT_00005

Kiosk · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
504.9 L
Recent monthly avg
358.9 L
Own Q90
750.5 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
1,847
Replenishment friction
3.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +101.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~101.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +16.2 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +16.2 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +189.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +81.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +72.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    +45.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +25.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -114.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -79.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -18.4
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -12.3
  • Province_Southern
    -2.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+16.2 L / mo
base 506.9 L → after 523.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 506.9 L → after 506.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 279

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
16.2 L
Monthly margin
LKR 501
Payback
99.8 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR -39,293

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.