All outlets

OUT_00001

Grocery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
501.7 L
Recent monthly avg
288.0 L
Own Q90
647.4 L
Active months
21 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,068
Replenishment friction
9.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +92.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~92.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +17.7 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +17.7 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +177.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    +78.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +54.3
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +34.3
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +9.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -97.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -68.0
  • Cooler_Count
    -22.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    -17.6
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -14.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+17.7 L / mo
base 461.8 L → after 479.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 461.8 L → after 461.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 913

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
17.7 L
Monthly margin
LKR 548
Payback
91.2 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR -38,281

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.